BJP likely to lose over 80 seats in 2019 Lok Sabha elections, jobs most important poll issue: Survey

If Lok Sabha elections 2019 are to be held today, the Narendra Modi-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is predicted to lose as many as 80 seats and drop to 252 seats from 336 in 2014, while the Congress led-UPA under Rahul Gandhi’s leadership may increase its tally to 146 from 60 in the last general elections, according to a pre-poll survey conducted by VotersMood Research (VMR) in collaboration with a leading news channel.

As per the survey, the BJP-led ruling alliance is likely to win 252 seats, 20 short of the majority in the 543-member House with a vote share of 38.7 per cent against the 336 seats it had won in 2014.

Meanwhile, the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance is predicted to win 146 seats with 32.6 per cent vote share in 2019 Lok Sabha elections. In 2014, the Grand Old Party and its allies had won just 60 seats in 2014 with only 24.4 per cent vote share.

Regional parties with 145 seats and 28.7 per cent votes are likely to play the kingmaker in a hung house, the survey predicted. The most disappointing news for the BJP is expected to come from Uttar Pradesh – the state where the saffron party had won 71 of the 80 seats and 2 seats were bagged by its coalition partner Apna Dal. The Samajwadi Party- Bahujan Samajwadi Party alliance is likely to bag 51 of the 80 seats while the BJP may get 27 seats.

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The joint opinion poll predicted that the despite a sharp decline in Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s popularity, 44 per cent respondents threw their weight behind him for the top job. Nearly 30 per cent people, who took part in the survey, felt that the country will have a better roadmap for the future under Congress chief Rahul Gandhi’s leadership.

News Nation Opinion Poll

As part of our special series of pre-poll surveys, News Nation runs state-wise opinion poll every Friday. So far, we have conducted our own surveys in Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi and Rajasthan.

According to our surveys, BJP was projected to win six out of seven seats in Delhi and five of the 10 seats in Haryana. The Congress is likely to win three seats in Haryana. In Punjab, ruling Congress party is predicted to win six seats, while the BJP and Siromani Akali Dal (SAD) alliance may get five seats. Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) may bag one seat.

In hill state of Himachal Pradesh, the ruling BJP is expected to bag three of the total four seats, while the remaining one may go in Congress’ account. Of the six Jammu and Kashmir parliamentary seats, the saffron party may get two seats against the Congress’ single seat. Regional parties – Omar Abdullah’s National Conference is likely to bag two seats while Mehbooba Mufti’s PDP may have to satisfy with just one seat.