Election Commission of India (ECI) is likely to declare its schedule for the high-voltage Lok Sabha Elections 2019 in a couple of days and it is likely to be spread over 7-8 phases in April-May. With just months to go for it, News Nation conducted an opinion poll to assess what the performance of each of the political parties in Bihar would be in case the Parliamentary Elections were to be held today. News Nation team travelled across all the 40 Lok Sabha constituencies in the state and tried to find out who will have the better chance in upcoming General Elections.
According to the opinion poll, the BJP-led NDA is going to be the biggest gainer in 2019 Lok Sabha Elections by winning 27 seats in the politically crucial state. On the other hand, the grand alliance - which comprises RJD, Congress, HAM, RLSP, VIP, Sharad Yadav’s LJD and the three Left parties – CPI, CPI(ML) and CPM - may grab 12 seats with 37 per cent votes. The BJP is likely to get 47 vote share.
According to the people of Bihar, issues that will dominate Lok Sabha elections are - unemployment 24 per cent, inflation 24 per cent, PM candidate 16 per cent, corruption 6 per cent, local candidate 5 per cent, law and order 4 per cent, agrarian issues 4 per cent, Ram Temple 4 per cent and others 13 per cent.
During the poll, staggering 46 per cent of the respondents said that Narendra Modi is their preferred choice for the prime ministerial post in 2019 and 28 per cent said that they will vote for Congress president Rahul Gandhi for the top post.
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47 per cent people of Bihar are satisfied with Nitish Kumar government and 50 per cent said they are people are happy with the work of Narendra Modi government at the Centre.
Staggering 46 per cent of the respondents said that Narendra Modi is their preferred choice for the prime ministerial post and 28 per cent said that they will vote for Congress president Rahul Gandhi for the post of PM.
44 per cent people in Bihar believe Rahul Gandhi's allegations against Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his government over Rafale Deal are baseless.
55 per cent people in Bihar say decision to reserve 10 per cent seats for weaker sections in general category will benefit BJP in the forthcoming Lok Sabha polls.
Out of total respondents, 55 per cent said Modi government is giving befitting reply to China, Pakistan.
According to the opinion poll, 51 per cent feel that prime agenda of Modi government is development while 36 per cent say it’s politics.
77 per cent people of Bihar feel that Balakot airstrikes will benefit the BJP in the forthcoming Lok Sabha elections.
NDA (BJP+JDU+LJP) to get 45 per cent vote share in Bihar and Grand Alliance (Congress+RJD+RLSP+HAM) can get 37 per cent votes.
Issues that will dominate Lok Sabha elections are - unemployment 24 per cent, inflation 24 per cent, PM candidate 16 per cent, corruption 6 per cent, local candidate 5 per cent, law and order 4 per cent, agrarian issues 4 per cent, Ram Temple 4 per cent and others 13 per cent.
BJP is likely to win 27 seats, suggest News Nation opinion poll. According to the poll, Congress may win 12 seats.
The JDU, which had 115 MLAs, contested on 101 seats only and left the equal number of seats for the RJD and 41 for the Congress in the 243-member strong Assembly.
Nitish Kumar ditched the BJP and formed a 'Grand Alliance' with the RJD and the Congress in the Bihar Assembly Elections 2015.
The RJD-Congress-NCP alliance was reduced to 7 seats (4+2+1) whereas the Nitish Kumar-led JDU was decimated with just 2 seats in the elections.
In 2014 Lok Sabha Elections, the BJP with its allies the Ram Vilas Paswan-led LJP and the Upendra Kushwaha-led RLSP won 31 seats in Bihar.
Lalu Prasad's Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) will take on the NDA with its own alliance comprising of the Congress, the Rashtriya Lok Samata Party (RLSP), the Hindustani Awami Morcha (HAM) and other parties.
The Janata Dal-United (JDU) will contest the upcoming Lok Sabha elections along with the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Lok Janshakti Party (LJP).
Bihar with 40 constituencies is the fourth largest state in terms of the Lok Sabha seats after Uttar Pradesh (80), Maharashtra (48) and West Bengal (42).