Lok Sabha Elections 2019: Narendra Modi-led NDA likely to lose 100 seats, predict opinion polls

With Lok Sabha elections around the corner, political parties are busy making strategies to win a maximum possible number of Lok Sabha seats. On one hand, regional parties like Samajwadi Party and Bahujan Samaj Party have announced pre-poll alliance and on the other hand, Congress president Rahul Gandhi has announced the formal entry of his sister Priyanka Gandhi Vadra into politics. In order to find out which political party has hit the right chord and has maximum chances of winning the upcoming general elections, several media houses are conducting opinion polls. According to these polls, the BJP-led NDA is likely to lose around 100 seats in upcoming Lok Sabha Elections.

As per the India Today-Karvy Insights Mood of the Nation Poll, the PM Narendra Modi-led alliance would witness a drop of 99 seats compared to its 2014 tally i.e. it would win 237 seats. The alliance had managed to win 336 seats in 2014 with the BJP alone winning 282 seats out of the total 543. The Congress-led United Progressive Alliance seems to be the biggest beneficiary of the BJP's waning popularity.

The opinion poll predicts that the UPA would win on 166 seats, which means a gain of around 106 seats as compared to its performance in 2014.

When it comes to vote share, the UPA is likely to get 33 per cent of votes and the NDA is estimated to get 35 per cent of the total votes. 'Others' will play a crucial role as the poll predicts that they would win 140 seats with a combined vote share of 32 per cent.

Another opinion poll 'Desh ka Mood' - conducted by the ABP News and CVoter – makes a similar prediction. This survey predicts that the NDA would get 233 seats – 103 seats less than 2014,  while the UPA would settle for 167 seats. However, it predicts that the vote share gap between the two alliances would be 4 per cent, double than that of 2 per cent predicted by India Today-Karvy.