Madhya Pradesh Opinion Poll: BJP to grab 20 seats despite Assembly poll debacle, Congress to win 9

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), despite facing a poll debacle in Madhya Pradesh Assembly Elections in 2018, will have the better chance of winning more parliamentary seats in the state in the forthcoming General Elections 2019. As per the News Nation poll survey, the BJP is expected to win 20 of the 29 seats in the state, witnessing a downfall in its performance in the 2014 Lok Sabha Elections. On the other hand, the Congress – ruling party in the state – is expected to win 9 Lok Sabha seats.

As far as the vote share is concerned, the BJP is likely to get 45 per cent of the total votes while the Congress-led UPA may get 37 per cent vote share. 

In 2014 Lok Sabha polls, the BJP completely swept the state and won 27 seats in Madhya Pradesh. The BJP received 1,60,15,695 votes with a whopping vote share of 54.8 per cent. The Congress managed to win only 2 seats in the state and received 1,03,40,274 votes with a vote share of 35.3 per cent. Only Kamal Nath from Chhindwara and Jyotiraditya Scindia from Guna were able to emerge victorious from the party in the state. The Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) got 3.8 per cent of the total votes polled in the state. Madhya Pradesh has 29 Lok Sabha seats and the 2014 election in the state was held in three phases on April 10, 17 and 24.

Madhya Pradesh will vote in four phases on April 29, May 6, 12 and 19. Polling will be held in 6 Lok Sabha seats namely Sidhi, Mandla, Balaghat, Jabalpur, Shahdol and Chhindwara in the third phase. Satna, Tikamgarh, Betul, Rewa, Hoshangabad, Khajuraho and Damoh will go for polls in the fourth phase on May 6. People in Bhind, Morena, Sagar, Vidisha, Bhopal, Gwalior, Rajgarh and Guna will vote on May 12 whereas the remaining 8 seats of Dhar, Ratlam, Ujjain, Mandsour, Dewas, Indore, Khargone and Khandwa will vote in the last phase on May 1.