Opinion Poll: BJP ahead in MP after Assembly debacle, Congress gets edge in Chhattisgarh

With 2019 Lok Sabha elections looming over the nation, News Nation has conducted an Opinion Poll to gauge the voting intention in the politically crucial Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. Our reporters travelled across all the Lok Sabha constituencies (Chhattisgarh -11, Madhya Pradesh - 29) and asked people several questions to find out who will have the better chance of winning the ensuing General Elections 2019. So, will the Congress be able to steal the show following its recent victory in Assembly Elections 2018 or the BJP will manage to regain its lost ground in the Hindi heartland states? Stay tuned with us to get the answer of your billion dollar question.

As per the News Nation poll survey, the BJP is expected to win 21 of the 29 seats in Madhya Pradesh, witnessing a downfall in its performance in the 2014 Lok Sabha Elections. As far as the vote share is concerned, the BJP is likely to get 41 per cent of the total votes while the Congress may get 35 per cent vote share. In the last Lok Sabha elections, the BJP had won 26 seats in the state while the Congress had managed to garner only three seats.

Talking about Chhattisgarh, the BJP, which bagged 10 of the 11 Lok Sabha seats in 2014, is likely to win five seats while the Congress will claim victory on the remaining six seats. A neck-and-neck fight is expected between the BJP and the Congress, with the former likely to get 41 per cent of the votes and the latter expected to garner 42 per cent of the total votes in Chhattisgarh.

General Elections in Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh are crucial as the BJP will be aiming to avenge its recent debacle in 2018 Assembly Elections.

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In December 2018, the Congress staged a massive comeback in Chhattisgarh by leading in 67 of the total 90 seats and wresting the state from the BJP, showcasing its best sign of resurgence. The BJP, on the other hand, was reduced to only 18 seats while the Janata Congress Chhattisgarh-Bahujan Samaj Party (JCCJ-BSP) combine managed to win only seven.

In Madhya Pradesh, the Shivraj Singh Chouhan-led BJP government suffered a major setback at the hand of the Congress after 15-long years. The Congress, which was locked in a tantalising see-saw battle with the BJP, emerged as the single-largest party with 114 seats. Falling two short of the majority mark of 116, the Congress later got the support of Mayawati’s BSP which had won two seats in the state.

While Lok Sabha Elections in Madhya Pradesh will take place in four phases during April 29-May 19 period, polls for Lok Sabha constituencies in Chhattisgarh are scheduled to be held in three phases on April 11, 18 and 23.

Here are the Highlights: Join us with #NNOpinionPoll as we bring you the most accurate Opinion Poll of the nation every Friday at sharp 06:00 pm.