Subscribe

0

Election Lok Sabha Election

Jharkhand Opinion Poll: BJP may bag 10 seats with 42 per cent vote-share, two short of 2014 tally

Only the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM) held its own to some extent against the Narendra Modi mandate, winning two seats in its stronghold of Santhal Pargana.

author-image
Victor Dasgupta
Updated On
New Update
Jharkhand Opinion Poll: BJP may bag 10 seats with 42 per cent vote-share, two short of 2014 tally

Lok Sabha Polls: Rahul or Modi, whom will Jharkhand vote

On Friday, News Nation came out with an opinion poll on Jharkhand that predicted that the Bharatiya Janata Party may get 10 seats, whereas the Congress and its alliance partners are likely to bag a total of 4 seats in the upcoming General Elections.

Advertisment

In 2014 Lok Sabha Elections, the BJP won 12 seats and left only 2 seats (Dumka and Rajmahal) for the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM). The Congress and the JMM had forged an alliance in the state to take on the BJP but the Grand Old Party failed to open its account. The 2014 election in Jharkhand was held in three phases on April 10, 17 and 24. The BJP received 52,07,439 votes with a vote share of 40.7 per cent and the JMM garnered 12,05,031 votes with a vote share of 9.4 per cent. The Congress received 17,24,740 votes with a vote share of 13.5 per cent. The JVM, the AJSU and the RJD received 15,67,655 (12.2%), 4,81,667 (3.80%) and 2,12,571 (1.7%) votes respectively.

In a bid to gauge the voting intention in the state, News Nation travelled across all the 14 Lok Sabha constituencies in the state and asked people several questions to find out who will have the better chance to steal the show in 2019.

When it comes to the most favourable prime ministerial candidate in 2019 Lok Sabha polls, Jharkhand chose Narendra Modi with 46 per cent votes. However, 28 per cent people in the state said they want Rahul Gandhi to run the country. Being asked about the most important issues in the state 5  per cent people voted for basic infrastructure, followed by jobs (17 per cent), inflation (30 per cent), corruption (7 per cent), terrorism  (7 per cent).

When asked about the performance of Modi government, 43 per cent said they are satisfied with the performance whereas 40 per cent said no.

The state of Jharkhand has been an important state for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) when it come to garner maximum seats. To recall, in 2014, like the rest of the Hindi heartland, Jharkhand too had decisively voted for the BJP. The state gave 12 out of the 14 seats to the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). Only the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM) held its own to some extent against the Narendra Modi mandate, winning two seats in its stronghold of Santhal Pargana. The BJP, which came to power in the state months after the Lok Sabha elections, has provided the only stable government the state has seen since its formation in 2000, but has to deal with a double dose of anti-incumbency. The Congress, on the other hand, has stitched together a multi-party alliance consisting of the JMM, Babulal Marandi’s Jharkhand Vikas Morcha (P) and the RJD. The Lok Sabha outcome will also set the tone for the Assembly elections.

Here are the highlights:

6.43 pm: 

6.43 pm: 

6.40pm: 46 per cent of respondents say Narendra Modi first choice for PM, Rahul stands at distant second with 38 per cent of votes.

6.35 pm: 

6.32 pm: As far as vote share is concerned, the BJP may get 42 per cent vote share and Congress alliance may get 34 per cent of vote share.

6.31 pm: According to the News Nation opinion poll, the BJP alliance may win a maximum of 10 seats and a minimum of 9. As far as, Congress/RJD/JMM/JVM/CPI, the alliance is likely to win a maximum of 4 seats. 

5.57 pm: In 2014, the Congress and the JMM had forged an alliance in the state to take on the BJP but the Grand Old Party failed to open its account. 

5.55 pm: Along with AJSU's 5 seats, the Bharatiya Janata Party crossed the majority mark of 41 in the Assembly.

5.53 pm: 

5.52 pm: The BJP emerged as the single largest party in the 2014 Jharkhand Assembly Elections and won 37 seats in the 81-member Assembly.

5.51 pm: 

5.50 pm: Congress received 17,24,740 votes with a vote share of 13.5 per cent. The JVM, the AJSU and the RJD received 15,67,655 (12.2%), 4,81,667 (3.80%) and 2,12,571 (1.7%) votes respectively.

5.49 pm: In 2014, the BJP received 52,07,439 votes with a vote share of 40.7 per cent and the JMM garnered 12,05,031 votes with a vote share of 9.4 per cent. 

5.48 pm: The Congress and the JMM had forged an alliance in the state to take on the BJP but the Grand Old Party failed to open its account.

5.45 pm: Jharkhand has 14 Lok Sabha seats. In 2014 Lok Sabha Elections, the BJP won 12 seats and left only 2 seats (Dumka and Rajmahal) for the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM).

BJP congress rahul gandhi Narendra Modi Amit Shah Babulal Marandi assembly polls JMM Raghubar Das Lok Sabha polls