Rajasthan Opinion Poll: BJP likely to return in state, may outplay Congress by winning 18 seats

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is likely to win 18 Lok Sabha seats in Rajasthan in the forthcoming 2019 Lok Sabha polls, according to News Nation Opinion Poll. The Congress, which defeated the BJP in the Assembly Elections held last year, will manage to win 7 parliamentary seats in the state. Earlier in 2014, the BJP had made a clean sweep in the state by winning all 25 seats. The Congress party drew a blank that time.

In terms of the vote share, the News Nation Opinion Poll predicted that the BJP will get around 43 per cent votes of the total votes in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections. The Congress would get 38 per cent votes and others would get 10 per cent.

In 2014, The BJP received 1,48,95,106 votes with a vote share of 55.61 per cent, while the Congress was able to garner 82,30,164 votes in the state with a vote share of 30.73 per cent. The Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) got 2.37 per cent of a vote share in the state.

However, the Vasundhara Raje-led BJP lost the Assembly elections at the hands of the Congress party in 2018. The Congress ousted the BJP and won 99 seats in the 200-member strong Assembly with a vote share of 39.30 per cent.

The party later increased its tally to 100 in the Assembly after its victory in Ramgarh and touched the halfway mark. The election to the Ramgarh Assembly seat was postponed due to the death of the BSP candidate ahead of December 7 Assembly elections.

The Congress received 1,39,35,201 votes in the state. The BJP was able to get 1,37,57,502 votes with a vote share of 38.80 per cent. The party won 73 Assembly seats. So, the vote share difference between both the main parties was a mere 0.50 per cent.