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Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll: ‘Mahagathbandhan’ may hurt BJP-AD combine, likely to win 42 seats

Will The Narendra Modi-led BJP Government Manage To Retain Its Stronghold In UP Or The SP-BSP-RLD 'mahagathbandhan' Would Turn Out To Be A Massive Setback For The Saffron Party In Their Mission 2019?

News Nation Bureau | Edited By : Nabanita Chakorborty | Updated on: 31 Mar 2019, 08:45:15 PM
UP Opinion Poll | BJP or 'Mahagathbandhan’: Who is winning in Hindi heartland? (File Photo)

New Delhi:

The political ardour is gaining pace ahead of the next month's Lok Sabha Elections across India. With less than two weeks left for the General Elections 2019, News Nation has conducted an opinion poll to gauge the voting intention in the politically crucial Uttar Pradesh. Our team has travelled across all the 80 Lok Sabha constituencies in the state and tried to analyse who will have the better chance to win big in 2019. Meanwhile, the question which has been doing rounds all over is - will the Narendra Modi-led BJP government manage to retain its stronghold in UP or the SP-BSP-RLD 'mahagathbandhan' would turn out to be a massive setback for the saffron party in their Mission 2019.

Going by the News Nation Opinion Poll, the SP-BSP-RLD bonhomie may hurt the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in the upcoming Lok Sabha polls in Uttar Pradesh. While the BJP and the Apna Dal combine is predicted to garner only 37 seats, the SP-BSP-RLD grand alliance may secure 42, which could be a significant improvement from their last General Elections performance. The Rahul Gandhi-led Congress is likely to win one seat in Uttar Pradesh.

As far as the vote share is concerned, the SP-BSP-RLD mahagathbandhan is likely to win 39 per cent votes while Amit Shah-Anupriya Patel alliance may end up bagging 37 per cent of the total votes in the state. Whereas the Congress may bag only 13 per cent votes followed by Others (12 per cent) in Lok Sabha Elections 2019.

The SP, BSP and RLD have forged an alliance while elbowing the Congress out of it. The SP-BSP bonhomie won the Lok Sabha by-elections in Gorakhpur, Phulpur and Kairana last year.

In a major setback to the anti-BJP alliance in Uttar Pradesh, the Nishad Party has ditched them allegedly for not following "alliance dharma" and within hours moved towards stitching a deal with the BJP. The changing equations hold significance as it was Nishad Party's Pravin Nishad, who snatched the prestigious Gorakhpur Lok Sabha seat from the BJP’s grip in a byelection last year on a SP symbol with the support of the BSP. Pravin is the son of party chief Sanjay Nishad.

Here are the Highlights:

NN Opinion Poll: 46 per cent respondents in Uttar Pradesh say the demonetisation decision has adversely impacted the economy in India.

NN Opinion Poll: 47 per cent people in Uttar Pradesh believe that Ram Mandir will be one of the major issues in Lok Sabha Election 2019.

NN Opinion Poll: While 38 per cent people in Uttar Pradesh say their standard of living has improved in the last 4.5 years, 17 per cent of them say it has worsened under the Narendra Modi government.

Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll: 64 per cent people in Uttar Pradesh say India's image has improved abroad during the tenure of Narendra Modi government.

Opinion Poll: 45 per cent people in Uttar Pradesh say they are satisfied with the Yogi Adityanath-led BJP government in the state.

NN Opinion Poll: 49 per cent people in Uttar Pradesh say development has been the prime focus of the Narendra Modi government.

Are people in Uttar Pradesh satisfied with the Narendra Modi-led BJP government at the Centre?

According to News Nation Opinion Poll, unemployment will be the biggest issue in Lok Sabha Elections 2019. 

Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll: BJP-AD alliance is likely to win 37 seats, while SP-BSP-RLD may get 42. Congress predicted to win 1 seat in the state.

While the SP-BSP-RLD mahagathbandhan is predicted to win 39 per cent votes, Amit Shah-Anupriya Patel alliance may end up bagging 37 per cent of the total votes. Whereas the Congress may bag only 13 per cent votes followed by Others (12 per cent) in Uttar Pradesh.

As far as the vote share is concerned, the News Nation opinion poll predicts that the ‘Mahagathbandhan’ (grand alliance) is likely to defeat the BJP-AD alliance in Uttar Pradesh.

The Mahagathbandhan has left Amethi and Rae Bareli seats for the Congress and three seats for the Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD). The Ajit Singh-led RLD will contest from Mathura, Baghpat and Muzaffarnagar.

The Samajwadi Party will contest on 37 seats while the Bahujan Samaj Party will field its candidates from 38 constituencies in Uttar Pradesh.

Voting in Uttar Pradesh will be held on April 11, April 18, April 23, April 29, May 6, May 12 and May 19. The counting of votes will be taken up on May 23.

Uttar Pradesh – the politically-sensitive state which sends 80 members to the Lok Sabha – will go to polls in seven phases starting April 11.

In the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP bagged 71 of the 80 seats, surpassing its highest tally of 58 seats in the state which had catapulted the NDA to power in 1998.

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First Published : 31 Mar 2019, 05:50:50 PM