Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll: ‘Mahagathbandhan’ may hurt BJP-AD combine, likely to win 42 seats

The political ardour is gaining pace ahead of the next month's Lok Sabha Elections across India. With less than two weeks left for the General Elections 2019, News Nation has conducted an opinion poll to gauge the voting intention in the politically crucial Uttar Pradesh. Our team has travelled across all the 80 Lok Sabha constituencies in the state and tried to analyse who will have the better chance to win big in 2019. Meanwhile, the question which has been doing rounds all over is - will the Narendra Modi-led BJP government manage to retain its stronghold in UP or the SP-BSP-RLD 'mahagathbandhan' would turn out to be a massive setback for the saffron party in their Mission 2019.

Going by the News Nation Opinion Poll, the SP-BSP-RLD bonhomie may hurt the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in the upcoming Lok Sabha polls in Uttar Pradesh. While the BJP and the Apna Dal combine is predicted to garner only 37 seats, the SP-BSP-RLD grand alliance may secure 42, which could be a significant improvement from their last General Elections performance. The Rahul Gandhi-led Congress is likely to win one seat in Uttar Pradesh.

As far as the vote share is concerned, the SP-BSP-RLD mahagathbandhan is likely to win 39 per cent votes while Amit Shah-Anupriya Patel alliance may end up bagging 37 per cent of the total votes in the state. Whereas the Congress may bag only 13 per cent votes followed by Others (12 per cent) in Lok Sabha Elections 2019.

The SP, BSP and RLD have forged an alliance while elbowing the Congress out of it. The SP-BSP bonhomie won the Lok Sabha by-elections in Gorakhpur, Phulpur and Kairana last year.

In a major setback to the anti-BJP alliance in Uttar Pradesh, the Nishad Party has ditched them allegedly for not following "alliance dharma" and within hours moved towards stitching a deal with the BJP. The changing equations hold significance as it was Nishad Party's Pravin Nishad, who snatched the prestigious Gorakhpur Lok Sabha seat from the BJP’s grip in a byelection last year on a SP symbol with the support of the BSP. Pravin is the son of party chief Sanjay Nishad.

Here are the Highlights: